Some very interesting new data out from emarketer this week. Several large investment banks and media analysts are predicting a significant drop in overall US advertising in 2009. That is not unexpected given the recession and the lack of a presidential election and Olympic Games in 2009. The big story in these numbers is the change in share of specific types of media in US ad spending. The traditional methods of broadcast (TV and radio) and print (newspapers and magazine) are on the decline while the internet and Custom Publishing/Custom Media is on the rise. The reason is simple - measurability. Marketers are shifting their dollars to places where they can measure the return on their investment in addition to having control over the environment. Additionally, Custom Media is ideal to talk to your current customers in addition to prospects with specific messages for each. Print and broadcast does not give you the ability to target customers vs. prospects nor does it give you a measurable return. Telling your story with custom content is a much better way to build a relationship with customers than blasting ads at them when they are watching TV or reading a newspaper.
For the cost of a couple of ads in a major newspaper or during a prime time show you can create a quarterly custom magazine, or a custom web site or a series of live or interactive events with your own content. It is a decision more and more companies are making.
If you project current trends, it is easy to see how by 2013 the internet and custom media will be the two most popular marketing vehicles available to companies. It is not hard to understand why media companies heavily dependent on print media are having fits trying to change their business models. The latest is the development is about Newsweek who is currently losing money. They plan to slash their rate base, keep ads dollars up, abandon news and become more of a thought leader publication. Name me another magazine that pulled off that kind of rapid and radical transition. My guess is that by this time next year, they will be losing more money than they are now. It is not about the circ or the edit mission, it is about smart money moving away from print advertising to interactive and custom media and there is nothing Newsweek or anyone can do about that.

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